Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac to lose market share to private capital: CBO


Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac to lose market share to private capital: CBO

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/12/16/us-usa-housing-cbo-idUSKBN0JU2KI20141216

During the 2007-09 financial crisis, it was almost impossible for home buyers to get a loan without a government guarantee, andFannie Mae and Freddie Mac stepped into the breach, backing roughly 60 percent of new mortgages between 2008 and 2013.

From 2007 to 2013 Fannie and Freddie were there when everyone else left the market.

But a mix of recent increases in fees charged by the two firms and a renewed willingness to lend by private sources of capital will help shrink Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's share to about 40 percent by 2024, the Congressional Budget Office said in a report.

Cbo says Fannie and Freddie by 2024( 10 years from now) will be back at 40% of market, where they were before 2007! 10 years from now they will still be at 40%!!

The two firms do not loan directly but rather buy loans which they then resell in bundles. They substantially hiked the fees they charge to guarantee mortgages in 2011 and 2012, reducing their advantage over private-sector firms.

Fannie and Freddie do not make a single loan. CBO says they no longer have an advantage over private sector. This is good for killing bills where Banks complain F&F are unfair competition to the banks. 

Their market share is already shrinking, falling to about 50 percent of new mortgages in the first half of 2014, the CBO said, citing data from Inside Mortgage

This is good too, as F&F cannot be a duopoly if 50% of mortgages are not from them as of 2014!


The CBO also examined several scenarios for reforming the U.S. mortgage financelandscape, including replacing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with a government entity or eliminating them entirely.

But because the CBO thinks the private market would likely price fees similarly to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the congressional analysts thought none of the scenarios would have a big impact on the federal budget.
CBO says there is no incentive to getting rid of, or replacing F&F!

http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/49765-Housing_Finance.pdf

Page 9
In 2012, the Treasury and the two GSEs revised their
agreements: Rather than pay a fixed dividend on the
Treasury’s preferred shares, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
began in 2013 to return almost all of their profits to the
Treasury. However, those payments do not reduce the
amount of preferred stock held by the Treasury, and the
GSEs are prohibited from buying back that stock under
their agreements with the Treasury and FHFA. Thus, the
terms of the agreements and the conservatorship ensure
that the federal government effectively retains complete
ownership and control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Complete ownership! thats what they say. CBO.
Why cant we win a Taking lawsuit is beyond me!




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